Andrew Rawnsley
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Predicting Oldham East and Saddleworth election result

Observer journalist Andrew Rawnsley predicts a Labour win in the the Oldham East and Saddleworth election, before Lib Dem MP Don Foster admits "it would be very difficult" if his party came third.

Conservative Chris Grayling and Labour's Douglas Alexander also give their view of the campaign.

The full list of candidates (in alphabetical order) is: Debbie Abrahams (Labour) Derek Adams (British National Party) Kashif Ali (Conservative) Peter Allen (Green Party) David Bishop (Bus-Pass Elvis Party) The Flying Brick (Monster Raving Loony Party) Loz Kaye (Pirate Party of the United Kingdom) Stephen Morris (English Democrats) Paul Nuttall MEP (UK Independence Party) Elwyn Watkins (Liberal Democrats)

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