Oil prices likely to fall further, says IEA

Oil rig in front of refinery

Related Stories

Oil prices are likely to continue falling well into 2015, the International Energy Agency has said.

The IEA, a consultancy to 29 countries, said weak demand and the US shale gas boom meant crude's recent fall below $80 a barrel was not over.

On Friday, Brent crude, one of the major price benchmarks, traded at $78.13 a barrel, near a four-year low.

"It is increasingly clear that we have begun a new chapter in the history of the oil markets," the IEA said.

"Barring any new supply problems, downward price pressures could build further in the first half of 2015."

Brent Crude Oil Futures $/barrel

Last Updated at 13 Feb 2015, 21:30 GMT Brent Crude Oil Future twelve month chart
price change %
61.40 +
+2.12
+
+3.58

The organisation, set up after the "oil shock" of the early 1970s to advise major oil importing countries, said that pressure was building on the Opec oil producers' group to restrict supply to bolster prices.

However, there have been reports that Saudi Arabia, Opec's key member, is not yet willing to turn off the taps. Opec members are due to meet on 27 November to discuss the supply and demand issues.

Most Opec members rely on oil revenues to support economic growth and spending.

Also, it is likely that oil and gas explorers will become increasingly worried that falling prices will make exploration uneconomical.

Brent has fallen for eight weeks in a row, its longest losing streak since 1988, according to Reuters' data.

The US energy department said this week that it expected low fuel prices to last into next year.

Earlier this week, the IEA's Global Outlook, a report into the industry's long-term challenges, warned that the US shale gas boom was masking serious risks to global energy security.

More on This Story

Related Stories

The BBC is not responsible for the content of external Internet sites

More Business stories

RSS

Features

  • President Bashar al AssadAnalysing Assad

    What does Syria's president really think about his country's civil war?


  • Antonia Eklund dancing with another womanHair, hips and heels

    Confessions of a British Carnival dancer in Rio


  • Dawn in SwedenLight up

    Swedish researchers look to help people through dark days


  • Visitors to Lahore festivalShow goes on

    The literary festival that breathes life into Lahore


From BBC Capital

Programmes

  • A heart shaped box of chocolates and a roseThe Travel Show Watch

    Survival guide - tips for making sure a romantic break does not break the relationship

Copyright © 2015 BBC. The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites. Read more.

This page is best viewed in an up-to-date web browser with style sheets (CSS) enabled. While you will be able to view the content of this page in your current browser, you will not be able to get the full visual experience. Please consider upgrading your browser software or enabling style sheets (CSS) if you are able to do so.