US election 2016: Can Trump surf a wave of discontent to top job?

Donald Trump Image copyright Getty Images

Could Donald Trump win, not just the Republican nomination, but the presidency itself?

The assumption is that Hillary Clinton will win: but I am not so sure.

It wouldn't be the first time a non-politician has taken the biggest political job the world has to offer.

Dwight Eisenhower and Ulysses S Grant were popular soldiers and Herbert Hoover was a millionaire mining magnate, who put in time as a public servant of a very grand kind - feeding Europe after World War One.

Moreover, their lack of electoral experience was more an accident than the basis of their appeal.

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What does 'controlling our borders' really mean?

Tourists use a selfie stick outside the Louvre Image copyright AFP
Image caption Would Brits need a visa to make a trip across the Channel in the event of Brexit?

If we leave the European Union would you need a visa to go on holiday to France? Or need a permit to work in Germany? Both might sound far-fetched but they are possible outcomes of the perceived need to curb migration.

The desire of many voters to "control our borders" might be the Leave campaign's strongest suit. It is a fact that the UK cannot exclude workers from most of Europe while in the European Union. "Control our borders" is a clear slogan. But details of what it might mean in practice are, to say the least, extremely sketchy.

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Stand by for another euro crisis

  • 21 April 2016
  • From the section Europe
A placard is seen during a protest against the visit of European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi in Lisbon Image copyright Reuters
Image caption European Central Bank president Mario Draghi wasn't welcomed by all in Lisbon

The European Union is staggering in the ring, like a bloodied boxer, taking punch after punch, staying just about upright, not because of improbable belief in victory but through the unacceptability of the alternative.

Just as the migration crisis eases, Berlin and Paris brace themselves for another blow - the possibility of the UK leaving the EU.

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Politics in the age of the instant insult

Dennis Skinner Image copyright Getty Images
Image caption Dennis Skinner was expelled from the Commons for insulting the prime minister

The Beast's beastliness falls well short of savage these days, and generates only faux outrage in the stilted setting of green benches.

Veteran Labour MP Dennis Skinner, long nicknamed "the Beast of Bolsover" has been chucked out of the chamber for calling the prime minister "Dodgy Dave".

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Steel: Lessons of Ravenscraig loom over Port Talbot

  • 7 April 2016
  • From the section UK
"The Steelman" sculpture at Ravenscraig
Image caption A 16ft sculpture of a steelworker was unveiled last year where the Ravenscraig works once stood

The sports centre at Ravenscraig is a homage, a "symphony in steel", say the architects.

But the music in the air is understated these days. Birdsong and the chatter of children have replaced the loud clang and clatter of heavy industry.

Read full article Steel: Lessons of Ravenscraig loom over Port Talbot

How runners might line up for a Tory leadership contest

Jockeys compete in a race at the Dubai World Cup meeting 26/03/2016 Image copyright AFP

Fancy a flutter on Karmatic Olive, High Heels, or Bruised Boy? Now's the time to take a punt on who'll be first past the post in the race for the next leader of the Conservative Party.

Study their form, but above all consider that cliche derived from the world of racing - there are indeed "horses for courses", some who will only do well when "the going is good".

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Turkey has European Union over a barrel

  • 17 March 2016
  • From the section Europe
A migrant shaves another at a makeshift camp at the Greek-Macedonian border, near the Greek village of Idomeni Image copyright Getty Images
Image caption Many migrants are gathered at the Greek-Macedonian border

Even as people struggle and drown on the river border between Greece and Macedonia the proposed solution to Europe's migration crisis is dissolving before our very eyes.

European Council President Donald Tusk's invitation letter to the two-day summit in Brussels this week admits gloomily "the catalogue of issues to be resolved before we can conclude an agreement is long".

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German power is the real key to Europe

Angela Merkel Image copyright Getty Images
Image caption Chancellor Merkel faces key regional elections

We may know by the weekend if the Empress of Europe will be dethroned sooner rather than later, or if her latest deal on the refugee crisis will save her bacon.

Either way it raises profound questions about the purpose and direction of the European Union (EU).

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Nobody knows what the EU will become

David Cameron Image copyright PA
Image caption David Cameron has warned that leaving the EU would plunge the UK into deep uncertainty

Earnest, passionate, and slightly shiny - the prime minister is in his element. The messy diplomacy behind him, he is selling a simple message.

Whether on Andrew Marr's comfy chair, behind a podium in Downing Street or on the front bench he is campaigning, slamming home a single point we will hear over and over again.

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Refugee crisis 'impossible to handle' in Turkey

  • 18 February 2016
  • From the section Europe
Jamal lost 13 members of his family when their boat sank on the way to Greece
Image caption Jamal lost 13 members of his family when their boat sank on the way to Greece

As Jamal talks, he fingers a creased, worn photocopy of seven faded pictures. The faces of 13 dead members of his family stare from the paper. They were all Kurds from Syria, who drowned when their boat sank off the Turkish coast on the way to Greece.

"This is my wife, Nejah Akli. That's my daughter-in-law, Sherin Muzafar. These are my grandchildren, Ma'sum and Muhamet…

Read full article Refugee crisis 'impossible to handle' in Turkey