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Warnings

Friday 12 February Published at 23:55

UK Warnings

Weather Warning

Issued by the Met Office

Yellow warning of snow and ice

Issued at 1124 on Fri 12 Feb 2016

Valid from 0005 on Sat 13 Feb 2016 to 2355 on Sat 13 Feb 2016

Rain, sleet and snow over northern Scotland will move slowly and erratically southwards across much of central Scotland early on Saturday and to parts of southern Scotland as the day goes on. Some locally heavy outbreaks of snow are likely over high ground and also to lower levels, mainly inland. In addition, icy surfaces are likely, particularly on Friday night and into Saturday morning.

Drier conditions should slowly follow into the Central Belt of Scotland on Saturday afternoon.

The public should be aware of difficult travelling conditions and the risk of some transport disruption due to both snow and icy surfaces.

There remains some uncertainty in the details and this warning will be updated as required.

Yellow warning of snow and ice

Issued at: 1148 on Fri 12 Feb 2016

Valid from 0005 on Sun 14 Feb 2016 to 1200 on Sun 14 Feb 2016

Further outbreaks of sleet and snow are expected through Saturday night and Sunday morning, with some heavy snow likely at times, especially over higher routes.

Please be aware of difficult travelling conditions and the risk of some disruption to transport.

There remains some uncertainty in the details and this warning will be updated as required.

Flood Warning

Issued by the Environment Agency or by SEPA in Scotland and Natural Resources Wales in Wales

FLOOD WARNINGS

Updated at 2350 on Friday 12th February

There are flood warnings in force in the following regions:

NORTHWEST (1)

NORTHEAST (1)

SOUTHWEST (2)

MIDLANDS (9)

WALES (1)

Further updates will appear here.

About the Met Office Weather Warnings

BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.

Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.

Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.

There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.

A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.

When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings

About Flood Warnings

The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.

Find out more about Flood Warnings

There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.

Floodline - 0345 988 1188

Monthly Outlook

Monday 8 February Published at 10:00

Monthly Outlook

Summary
Blowing hot and cold

As we went through the first week of February, the last month of the meteorological winter, there were some early signs of spring. Temperatures last Monday reached 15 Celsius in Hull, and again on Thursday at Usk in Wales. As well as the milder temperatures, there was a changeable look to early February. Storm Henry, a very deep area of low pressure passed just to the north of Scotland on Monday and brought a gust of 90mph at South Uist in the Outer Hebrides of Scotland .

There were also some colder nights, especially Tuesday night with wintry showers resulting in a covering of snow on higher parts of the M62 motorway. This past weekend saw further spells of wet and windy weather across the country, a gust of 76mph was recorded at Plymouth on Saturday afternoon.

Monday 8 February—Sunday 14 February
Wind problems look set to continue

A lot going on weather-wise this week. Storm Imogen will cross the UK during Monday bringing very strong winds to southern areas and showers in many places, continuing into Tuesday. Then a quieter period of weather mid-week before another deep area of low pressure moves in from the Atlantic late in the week bringing strong winds and outbreaks of rain.

So looking at this week in a bit more detail. Monday will be a showery day and very windy in the south, severe gales or even storm force winds will affect south Wales and southern England. The centre of the low pressure will be over Scotland and here winds will remain light. To the south of the low centre, showers will be frequent and heavy with hail and thunder. Showers becoming fewer during Tuesday but still frequent over northeast Scotland where it will be windy. Winds veering into a northwesterly direction introducing colder air to all parts with the showers in the north falling as snow on high ground. The weather will draw a breath on Wednesday with something altogether quieter with fewer showers and lighter winds. It will be a colder night on Tuesday night and Wednesday night with a frost developing.
The weather is set to turn more unsettled again during Thursday and into Friday with another area of low pressure moving in from the Atlantic. It is again expected to bring wet and windy weather to many areas although Scotland will be drier, brighter and colder with wintry showers. The low pressure will remain close by over the weekend with showers in many areas, wintry on high ground.

Monday 15 February—Sunday 21 February
Weather rollercoaster continues

It looks like an unsettled and cold start to the week with strong northerly winds and blustery showers, falling as snow on higher ground in the north. Then a brief ridge of high pressure will follow from the west during the early part of the week bringing drier conditions. The settled weather is not expected to last for too long before we begin to see further areas of low pressure coming our way across the Atlantic Ocean. At this stage it looks as though the track of the low pressure systems will move back to the north of the British Isles. This will mean the wettest and windiest weather is likely to be over parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland.
There are also indications as we go towards the end week that high pressure will begin to build up from the south with something in the way of more settled conditions reaching many parts of England and Wales.

Monday 22 February—Sunday 6 March
Will February finish on a high?

As we head towards the end of February, there is a signal for further areas of low pressure to come our way across the Atlantic. However the various weather forecast models do show a large variety of tracks of these low pressure systems but mostly expected to pass to the north of the UK. This will allow high pressure to build at times, especially in the south bringing longer drier, brighter spells with lighter winds. This will also mean some cold and frosty nights. However we are still likely to see spells of wet and windy weather crossing from the west, more especially over the north of the country. These unsettled conditions will make their way southwards from time to time.

Next week

As we move into the meteorological spring will winter have a sting in its tail?

Monthly forecasting
The weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.

Next update at 10:00, Monday 15 February

Summary

Friday 12 February Published at 15:34

Summary

Wet in the far south tomorrow; scattered wintry showers elsewhere.
This Evening and Tonight

Widespread frost across northern, central and eastern Britain. Scattered showers in the north and west, wintry on higher ground. Frequent sleet or snow showers across parts of eastern Scotland. Becoming wet and breezy across southwest England and south Wales later.

Saturday

Dull with occasional rain or sleet across southern England and south Wales. Heavy sleet or snow showers across central/southeast Scotland and far northeast of England. Elsewhere, mainly dry and bright.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday

Feeling much colder, with a brisk northerly wind on Sunday and Monday. Often sunny, but occasional snow showers, especially in the northeast. Rain or snow into northwest later on Tuesday.

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UK Forecast Last updated 23:42, Friday 12 Feb