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Warnings

Wednesday 28 September Published at 00:00

UK Warnings

Weather Warning

Issued by the Met Office

YELLOW WARNING for WIND for Scotland.

Issued at:10:41 on Tue 27 Sep 2016

Valid from:01:00 on Thu 29 Sep 2016

Valid to:20:00 on Thu 29 Sep 2016

Gales or severe gales are expected to develop across much of Scotland on Thursday. The strongest winds are most likely across northwestern areas, where gusts of 70 mph are possible. However, much of Scotland could see gusts of 55-60 mph.

Please be aware that potential impacts could include minor travel disruption with some bridge restrictions, and possible damage to trees and structures. Additionally, large waves will build off northern and western coasts with the risk of some wave overtopping here.

This Alert will be reviewed in the lead-up to Thursday so it is advised to keep up with the latest developments.

Flood Warning

Issued by the Environment Agency or by SEPA in Scotland and Natural Resources Wales in Wales

Wednesday 28 September

There are no flood warnings in force anywhere in the United Kingdom.

About the Met Office Weather Warnings

BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.

Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.

Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.

There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.

A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.

When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings

About Flood Warnings

The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.

Find out more about Flood Warnings

There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.

Floodline - 0345 988 1188

Monthly Outlook

Monday 26 September Published at 10:00

Monthly Outlook

Summary
September draws to a close

After all the excitement that early September brought with record breaking heat and intense thunderstorms, last week's weather was a little more calm. We often saw temperatures above the seasonable norm with quite dry weather at times too. But there was some rain to be had, especially in western areas. What's around the corner though in our forecast? Read on to find out more!

Monday 26 September—Sunday 2 October
What will the final week of September bring?

September will draw to a close in a conventional autumnal style with areas of low pressure bringing wet and windy weather at times. It is likely we will see a succession of these through this coming week, the first of which on Monday, with rain arriving from the southwest bringing the risk of coastal gales too. This will then be followed by further spells of wet and windy conditions throughout the week, though there are likely to be some drier intervals too with some good spells of sunshine.

Monday 3 October—Sunday 9 October
October has arrived; will we see a change?

Possibly. The most likely situation however is to see a continuation of the unsettled theme with wet and windy weather. It is likely that during this time we will see a northwest-southeast split start to develop with southeast England seeing the driest conditions and conversely, Scotland and Northern Ireland the wettest. But it's worth remembering, there is a chance of more settled conditions pushing across the UK, especially later in the week. This would bring the possibility of a quieter spell of weather particularly in the southeast.

Monday 10 October—Sunday 23 October
How's mid to late October looking?

Peering further ahead, it looks likely that we will keep a classically autumnal theme. It will remain unsettled with spells of wet and windy weather interspersed with brighter and drier interludes.

Next week

Will that small glimmer of more settled conditions push in over the UK?

Monthly forecasting
The weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.

Next update at 10:00, Monday 3 October

Summary

Tuesday 27 September Published at 13:36

Summary

Windy in the north, rain tomorrow. Drier in the southeast.
This Evening and Tonight

Remaining windy in the north tonight, with showers continuing across northern Scotland. It'll be a drier night elsewhere, with clearer spells, though turning cloudy across Northern Ireland with rain pushing in by the end of the night.

Wednesday

Rain and strong winds in Northern Ireland will spread into Scotland during Wednesday, with some light rain or drizzle developing across western England and Wales too. Dry and bright elsewhere.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday

Thursday, cloud and rain slowly clearing southeast, with blustery showers in the north. Very windy in Scotland. Sunshine and further blustery showers on Friday and Saturday and thunder possible too.

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Last updated 23:37 BST, Tuesday 27 Sep