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Monday 25 May Published at 00:02
Issued by the Met Office
Monday 25 May
There are no weather warnings in force anywhere in the United Kingdom.
About the Met Office Weather Warnings
BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.
Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.
Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.
There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.
A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.
When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings
About Flood Warnings
The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.
Find out more about Flood Warnings
There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.
Floodline - 0345 988 1188
Monday 25 May Published at 10:00
Summer arriving, but where is the summery weather?
April 2015 proved to be a lot warmer than an average April for the vast majority of the UK, and also the sunniest April since records began way back in 1929. In stark contrast, May 2015 has so far proven to be a relatively cool month, with daytime temperatures well below where they should be for most. The first half of May 2015 also proved to be particularly wet, with most places in the UK receiving the average rainfall for the entire month in just the first two weeks.
The week just passed brought further spells of rain. So as we head through the last week of May and into June (the start of the meteorological summer), is there any change on the horizon from the cool and showery theme of late?
Well, in short, in the near term the answer is no. The last week of May looks like remaining a touch on the cool side, particularly in the north, and will turn quite wet and windy for a time on Thursday and into the weekend. Further ahead though there are suggestions of a slight change in the weather.
Read on to find out the details...
Monday 25 May—Sunday 31 May
The cool theme continues...for some at least
This week gets underway on a dry and cloudy note. There will be the risk of a few showers across northern parts, but on the whole most places will stay dry. Temperatures will be a little on the cool side under the cloudy skies, but in the brighter intervals across eastern areas, temperatures will peak into the high teens. A similar theme is expected for Tuesday and the first part of Wednesday.
Later on Wednesday an Atlantic low pressure system will bring outbreaks of rain and gusty winds into Northern Ireland. Overnight into Thursday morning, this weather system is expected to track northeastwards, bringing wet and windy weather to all parts of the UK for a time.
On current forecast timings, we expect this low pressure system to have cleared away into the North Sea by Thursday afternoon, but a legacy of heavy, potentially thundery showers and strong northwesterly winds are expected in its wake.
Conditions should then settle down for a time as we move into Friday, but further Atlantic weather systems are expected to move in from the west through the course of Friday and into the weekend. Southeastern parts may stay drier and warmer at times, but the cool showery theme will continue in the northwest.
Monday 1 June—Sunday 7 June
Flaming June? Not likely...at least for start
The meteorological summer looks set to get off to a relatively breezy start in the north, with a risk of further Atlantic low pressure systems tracking northeastwards to bring spells of rain and some fairly strong winds at times. The combinations of these elements will likely lead to temperatures registering at values rather lower than what we would usually expect for early June, (the early-June average in the north of the UK being 15 to 16C).
Further south though, there is a greater chance that conditions will tend to stay drier for longer, with temperatures reaching values nearer to what we would normally expect during June (18 to 19C as the early-June average in the south of the country), particularly in any brighter daytime interludes.
Towards the end of this period, confidence in the forecast tethers off somewhat. However, there are signs that we could see pressure rise across much of the UK though, which would in turn increase the likelihood of dry weather for all parts, with a recovery in daytime maxima in the previously cooler north.
Monday 8 June—Sunday 21 June
Lots of uncertainty, but at least a hint of summer
Even for a long range forecast, the current prospects for the second week of June exhibit a relatively large amount of uncertainty. There is little sign of any genuine consensus between all the computer models and weather forecasting tools available to us. However, there are some hints that pressure might start to build across Scandinavia. Such a scenario would have the effect of introducing a good deal of dry and bright weather, particularly across northwestern parts of the UK.
High pressure lying to the northeast of the UK also creates favourable conditions for a warm feed of continental air across southern parts of the UK, with the potential for some thundery showers to feed in from the near continent. At this stage we cannot be too certain of such an anti-cyclonic outcome. We await further forecast information with interest, and of course we will always keep you updated here at BBC Weather Centre.
Will the summer weather show up? Find out next week!...
Monthly forecastingThe weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Next update at 10:00, Monday 1 June
Monday 25 May Published at 01:38
Mostly fine at first this week. More unsettled later.
Northern and eastern areas will have sunny spells, although the north of Scotland will also see scattered showers. Elsewhere some brightness but thicker cloud with light rain or drizzle affecting parts of Northern Ireland, Wales and westernmost England.
Southeast Scotland and eastern parts of England will have clear spells. Elsewhere there will be more in the way of cloud, giving a few showers in the north and west.
Northern and western Scotland and parts of Northern Ireland mostly cloudy with showers. The rest of the British Isles will be largely dry with bright or sunny spells developing.
Outlook for Wednesday to Friday
Wednesday morning will be bright, with showers in the north. Wet and windy weather will spread eastwards across Britain later, clearing to sunshine and blustery showers for Thursday and Friday.