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Warnings

Friday 23 June Published at 00:00

UK Warnings

Weather Warning

Issued by the Met Office

Friday 23 June

There are no weather warnings in force anywhere in the United Kingdom.

Flood Warning

Issued by the Environment Agency or by SEPA in Scotland and Natural Resources Wales in Wales

Friday 23 June

There are no flood warnings in force anywhere in the United Kingdom.

About the Met Office Weather Warnings

The Met Office warns the public and emergency responders of severe or hazardous weather which has the potential to cause danger to life or widespread disruption through the National Severe Weather Warning Service.

The Met Office issues warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. These warnings are given a colour depending on a combination of the likelihood of the event happening and the impact the conditions may have.

For more information, see the Met Office Weather Warnings Guide.

About Flood Warnings

The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.

Find out more about Flood Warnings

There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.

Floodline - 0345 988 1188

Monthly Outlook

Monday 19 June Published at 10:00

Monthly Outlook

Summary
Scorching summer sun set to stay?

High pressure dominates the UK weather to begin with and that means that any changes we see will happen very slowly. We have an almost stationary weather front bringing persistently cloudy skies and occasional rain in the north. South of this front there are clear blue skies and high temperatures. Through the first week the high pressure will gradually break down bringing more changeable weather. Essentially if you don't like what you have now, it will change by the weekend.
Towards the end of June, high pressure looks to re-establish itself in the west with plenty of dry weather. Eastern parts will have the lion's share of any showers, not that there will be all that many. Into July things look like staying mainly dry and settled but with warm air moving in from the continent, we may have a few thunderstorms at times.

Monday 19 June—Sunday 25 June
High pressure is in control

We start this week with hot and sunny weather across the south of the UK and temperatures around 30ºC for many. In the north, across Scotland and to a lesser extent Northern Ireland we have cooler air moving in along with a band of cloud and some patchy rain. This cloud and rain will pull away from the UK by Tuesday and then mid-week it will be replaced by showers from the west. We won't all see these showers though and southern parts of England and Wales may remain completely dry all week. By this point temperatures will be dipping into the low-twenties. Ending the week we'll see a weather front approaching from the northwest bringing cloud and rain to Scotland and Northern Ireland. It's slow progress as this front approaches. England and Wales will remain dry and with warm air being pulled in from the continent, temperatures here look set to climb again. As often seems to be the case, as the weekend approaches, so does the rain and most of us will see some unsettled weather by Sunday.
It's worth a mention that for much of this week, both UV and pollen levels are either high or very high.

Monday 26 June—Sunday 2 July
A bit of variety

With high pressure receding away to the near continent, the weather will certainly be more changeable than the previous week. It looks as though we'll get a few showers spreading right across the UK but we'll get some warm and dry days too. It's going to be one of those weeks where you'll need to keep up to date with the forecast fairly often. As pressure begins to build again to the west we'll see more settled weather coming to the fore. This should gradually spread to all parts allowing temperatures to build once more. As this happens we may well get a few thunderstorms developing, particularly during the evening or overnight.

Monday 3 July—Sunday 16 July
Where do you draw the line?

At this stage there is quite a lot of uncertainty in the forecast with hints of high pressure in the south and low pressure at least nearby in the north. This means that generally speaking the south will be fine and settled and the north will see some windy spells with rain at times. That's not to say the start of July will be a washout across Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. There will be some settled, sunny and even warm weather too. In the same vein, saying that the south will see lots of dry weather doesn't mean no rain at all. Rain in the south looks most likely to take the form of large showers and thunderstorms developing through the heat of the day.
All this talk of north and south begs another question in this forecast; where does one become the other? Unfortunately this isn't obvious and where the high pressure sits will determine this. Should the high pressure be centred across central France, we could see unsettled conditions permeating as far south as the Midlands. If it's further north, centred over England, we could see the mainly dry, warm weather pushing as far north as the central belt of Scotland.

Next week

Will it be the weather for beach days or board games?

Monthly forecasting
The weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.

Next update at 10:00, Monday 26 June

Summary

Thursday 22 June Published at 15:32

Summary

Fresher overnight with rain in the north and west.
This Evening and Tonight

A fine evening for most with some late sunshine, however rain and strong winds will arrive in northwest Scotland, before sinking across many northern and western parts overnight. The south will stay dry and it will be fresher for all.

Friday

Generally dry and bright in the south. Meanwhile patchy rain through central and northern parts of England and Wales. Further north it will turn brighter with sunshine and blustery showers.

Outlook for Saturday to Monday

Changeable and breezy with showers or longer spells of rain on Saturday. Drier and brighter for most on Sunday and at first Monday, before rain returns in the west later.

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Last updated 23:37 BST, Thursday 22 Jun