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Tuesday 1 December Published at 21:12
Issued by the Met Office
YELLOW WARNING of RAIN for Wales and the western fringes of The Midlands.
Issued at:1117 on Tue 1 Dec 2015
Valid from:0800 on Wed 2 Dec 2015
Valid to:2345 on Thu 3 Dec 2015
Rain is expected to arrive from the west on Wednesday morning and become heavy at times, persisting overnight and into at least part of Thursday.
Given saturated ground and high river levels, be aware of the potential for flooding, leading to disruption to travel, localised property flooding and danger from fast-flowing deep water.
About the Met Office Weather Warnings
BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.
Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.
Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.
There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.
A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.
When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings
About Flood Warnings
The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.
Find out more about Flood Warnings
There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.
Floodline - 0345 988 1188
Monday 30 November Published at 10:00
Wet and wild
It's going to be a wet and windy start to the new week, turning milder too for a time. Longer term, the weather stays generally unsettled but not especially cold for the time of year.
Monday 30 November—Monday 7 December
A battle between winter and autumn
The week will be dominated by a succession of weather systems moving rapidly across the UK producing some very strong gusts of winds at times. Initially it will be cold enough over northern hills to get some further accumulations of snow, but in the south it will stay mild. From midweek the mild air will surge across the whole country, with a rapid thaw of lying snow combining with heavy rain to bring a risk of flooding. Temperatures could push up towards 15C in the mildest spots.
Colder air will move back south across the country by Friday and will remain over the weekend with some further falls of snow over northern hills. There will be showers in western areas, but more in the way of sunshine in the east.
Monday 7 December—Monday 14 December
A bit drier in the south
The weather pattern will stay unsettled with further bouts of wet and windy weather. The low pressures are likely to be centered to the northwest of the UK, so the strongest winds and heaviest rain will mostly likely affect northwestern areas. Conversely the southeast is likely to have some lengthier dry periods with some bright or sunny spells. The winds will be lighter across southern areas at times allowing some mist and fog patches to develop.
Monday 14 December—Monday 28 December
Typical December weather
Low pressures are likely to track a little further southwards, bring further spells of wet and windy weather across the UK. These will be interspersed with spells of brighter, colder weather with some mist and fog patches forming where winds fall light.
What are the chances of a white Christmas? Check the update next week!
Monthly forecastingThe weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Next update at 10:00, Monday 7 December
Tuesday 1 December Published at 14:45
Heavy rain in the north, dull and drizzly elsewhere.
This Evening and Tonight
Winds will become gusty across northern parts this evening as a band of rain moves south-eastwards into Scotland, Northern Ireland and northern England. Cloudy and mild across southern parts with the odd spot of drizzle
Rain moving south, stalling across Wales and Northern England. Cloudy and mild to the south and cooler with sunshine and showers to the north of the rain. Winds easing.
Outlook for Thursday to Saturday
Rain in the south on Thursday but brighter and colder in the north. Rain clearing Friday morning before further wet and windy weather sweeps southeastwards late Friday and through Saturday.