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Wednesday 18 October Published at 01:28
Issued by the Met Office
Wednesday 18 October
There are no weather warnings in force anywhere in the United Kingdom.
About the Met Office Weather Warnings
The Met Office warns the public and emergency responders of severe or hazardous weather which has the potential to cause danger to life or widespread disruption through the National Severe Weather Warning Service.
The Met Office issues warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. These warnings are given a colour depending on a combination of the likelihood of the event happening and the impact the conditions may have.
For more information, see the Met Office Weather Warnings Guide.
About Flood Warnings
The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.
Find out more about Flood Warnings
There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.
Floodline - 0345 988 1188
Monday 16 October Published at 10:00
Very unsettled start - sign of a drier spell later
The first fortnight of October has seen some pleasant warm weather in the southeastern half of the UK, where it has also been very dry so far, but the northwest has been much wetter: Capel Curig in Snowdonia has recorded 255 mm of rainfall already. Even the southeast will see some significant rain during the next fortnight but there are signs of a more settled weather pattern returning later in the period.
Monday 16 October—Sunday 22 October
Stormy start - more wind and rain later
The second half of the month begins with ex-hurricane Ophelia bringing a stormy day. Severe gales will spread to western coastal parts, with some disruption likely and gales will develop in many other inland areas later. At the same time, eastern England will be warm and bright. Gales will continue into Tuesday morning over the northern half of the UK but will decrease steadily. The south will have another mainly dry, bright and rather warm day while the north is cloudy with some showers. On Wednesday, most areas will be cloudy and there'll be some patchy, mainly light rain around. The second half of the week will turn very unsettled everywhere, with bands of rain crossing all parts, and there's the potential for further very windy episodes. Temperatures will also drop back towards average.
Monday 23 October—Sunday 29 October
Unsettled start and turning cooler
The last full week of October will begin on a very unsettled note. There will be periods of rain and some strong winds likely. The week's weather will keep an unsettled flavour but there will be lengthier drier, clearer periods as the week goes on. Should the winds fall light overnight, a couple of cold starts are likely, with local frost and patchy fog but rain and wind are likely to return for a time especially to the northwest.
Monday 30 October—Sunday 12 November
Prospect of some settled autumnal weather
Heading into early November, the weather pattern looks set to remain in a rather unsettled mood, with occasional spells of wind and rain but also some drier and brighter intervals. As the fortnight goes on, so a more settled spell is expected to develop although the northwest may hang on to mild conditions with cloudy, breezy weather and some rain. Elsewhere, higher pressure promises a much drier period with lighter winds and it will turn rather chilly at times. Overnight fog and frost will also become much more likely.
The change to more settled weather is far from certain, will we see frost and fog set the tone for early November?
Monthly forecastingThe weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Next update at 10:00, Monday 23 October
Wednesday 18 October Published at 02:46
Largely cloudy. Turning wet and windy this weekend.
Cloudy across Wales and also central and southern England with rain moving northeastwards. This will be heavy at times but tend to clear in the afternoon. Elsewhere it will be mainly dry with a few sunny spells likely in places.
Cloudy and mild with hill fog in many places. There will also be some rain at times, particularly in the north and west where it will also be breezy.
A mainly cloudy day with rain in places. During the afternoon persistent rain will move in from the west and it will also become windy, with gales in the southwest.
Outlook for Friday to Sunday
Wet and possibly windy conditions will steadily clear on Friday allowing brighter conditions. Becoming wet and windy again by Saturday, with gales likely. Slowly becoming drier and brighter on Sunday.