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Thursday 28 July Published at 08:10
Issued by the Met Office
Thursday 28 July
There are no weather warnings in force anywhere in the United Kingdom.
About the Met Office Weather Warnings
BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.
Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.
Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.
There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.
A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.
When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings
About Flood Warnings
The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.
Find out more about Flood Warnings
There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.
Floodline - 0345 988 1188
Monday 25 July Published at 10:00
No quick return to hot weather - some showers
Almost everywhere had a hot day last Tuesday, and eastern England has had a very warm week. Temperatures will be lower during the coming week, but the pattern of showery weather often affecting the north and west but only occasionally pushing into southeastern parts is expected to continue into early August. There's no immediate sign of a return to hot weather, but the southeast will see some warm days, and there's just the chance that more settled weather will develop everywhere for a time.
Monday 25 July—Sunday 31 July
Showers on most days. Not so warm in the east.
For many parts of England, Monday will be the coolest day for some time, with temperatures back near the normal for late July. There'll be some sunshine and only isolated light showers over England and Wales, while Northern Ireland and Scotland have a cool westerly wind and more widespread showers, with this cool showery weather continuing there on Tuesday. Further south it will turn cloudier with some patchy rain over Wales and the southwest. On Wednesday and Thursday, rather cloudy weather will spread across the country, bringing rain especially to western parts. The southeast will be drier, and may turn warmer and brighter but with the chance of a few heavy showers. For Friday and the weekend the mix of sunny intervals and scattered showers will continue. Northern areas will be rather cool, and will see more showers, while the south is drier and a little warmer. As a result, some places in the south will end up with a very dry July overall.
Monday 1 August—Sunday 7 August
Change of month... but no change in weather
August begins with the same sort of weather pattern expected to continue. So we continue to look to the west for occasional bands of rain moving in from the Atlantic. These will be more potent in the northwest, so expect some heavy bursts of rain there, while in the south and east any rain will be lighter and more patchy in nature. Scotland and Northern Ireland will have temperatures near or a little below normal, while the south may see one or two warmer, more humid days.
Monday 8 August—Sunday 21 August
Increasing chance of a fine, warm spell
The pattern of rather unsettled weather, giving most of the rain in the northwest and best of the temperatures and sunshine in the southeast, is likely to prevail through the middle fortnight of August too. However, some computer models are suggesting that a high pressure area may develop across the British Isles. This means there is an increasing chance that there will be a spell when the whole country can expect several days of fine, warm weather with long sunny spells. This can only be considered a moderate probability at this range - the high pressure may prove reluctant to shift from its usual position near the Azores.
Watching for signs of the Azores High shifting towards the British Isles
Monthly forecastingThe weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Next update at 10:00, Monday 1 August
Thursday 28 July Published at 02:43
Rain moving east, brighter with showers later for some.
Rain in the west will move eastwards, this persistent and locally heavy over Northern Ireland, northern England and southern Scotland. Brighter with showers over northern Scotland. Turning brighter across Wales and southern England later with a risk of heavy showers.
Rain over central areas slowly moves south. To the north, cooler, clearer conditions with some showers. To the south, mild, rather cloudy with some showery outbreaks, mainly in the west.
Cloud and patchy rain over central areas slowly clears south through the day. Fresher, drier and brighter conditions following from the north with sunny spells and some showers.
Outlook for Saturday to Monday
Sunshine and scattered showers throughout, the showers most frequent across the north. Feeling fresher in the north, with these conditions gradually spreading south.