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Warnings

Monday 8 February Published at 10:01

UK Warnings

Weather Warning

Issued by the Met Office

AMBER WARNING of WIND for southwest and southern England and south Wales.

Updated at:0758 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

Valid from:0810 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

Valid to:1800 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

An area of very strong winds is likely to extend east across southwest England and parts of central southern England on Monday morning. Gusts of 60-70 mph are likely widely, with 80 mph gusts in exposed coastal areas, particularly Cornwall and North Devon, and also along the South Wales coast and through the Bristol Channel. Some very large waves are also likely to affect many coasts, in particular north coasts of Cornwall and Devon.

Winds should gradually ease through the afternoon and evening. This warning has been updated to include a greater part of the South Wales coast.

Please be prepared for disruption to travel as well as possible damage to trees and structures, and interruption of power supplies.

This is an update to the warning to extend the amber area to cover more of the Bristol Channel, including Cardiff and Bristol, and also English Channel coasts of Sussex and Kent.

YELLOW WARNING of WIND for southwest England, south Wales and southern England.

Updated at 0805 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

Valid from:0810 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

Valid to:1800 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

An area of very strong winds are expected to extend east across much of southern England and parts of south Wales on Monday morning. Gusts of 60-70 mph are likely quite widely, with 80 mph gusts likely in exposed coastal areas, particularly Cornwall. Some very large waves are also likely to affect many coasts, in particular the north coasts of Cornwall and Devon. Winds should gradually ease through the afternoon and evening.

Please be aware of the potential for disruption to travel as well as possible damage to trees and structures and interruption of power supplies. This warning has been updated to increase the northern extent of the warning.

This is an update to the warning to extend the yellow area a little further north across south Wales and southern England.

This is a further update to extend the warning to cover most other counties of southern England.

YELLOW WARNING of RAIN for parts of south and west Wales and parts of southwest England

Updated at:1015 on Sun 7 Feb 2016

Valid from:1500 on Sun 7 Feb 2016

Valid to:1800 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

Rain will move quickly eastwards on Sunday afternoon and evening, followed by frequent showers overnight and through Monday. The showers are likely to be heavy at times and accompanied by hail and thunder, with very strong and gusty winds. Be aware of the potential for localised surface water flooding.

Flood Warning

Issued by the Environment Agency or by SEPA in Scotland and Natural Resources Wales in Wales

FLOOD WARNINGS

Updated at 08:15 on 8th Feb 2016

There are flood warnings in force in the following regions:

NORTHWEST (2)

SOUTHWEST (26)

SOUTHEAST (2)

MIDLANDS (10)

WALES (16)

ANGLIAN (1)

SCOTLAND (7)

Further updates will appear here.

About the Met Office Weather Warnings

BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.

Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.

Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.

There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.

A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.

When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings

About Flood Warnings

The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.

Find out more about Flood Warnings

There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.

Floodline - 0345 988 1188

Monthly Outlook

Monday 8 February Published at 10:00

Monthly Outlook

Summary
Blowing hot and cold

As we went through the first week of February, the last month of the meteorological winter, there were some early signs of spring. Temperatures last Monday reached 15 Celsius in Hull, and again on Thursday at Usk in Wales. As well as the milder temperatures, there was a changeable look to early February. Storm Henry, a very deep area of low pressure passed just to the north of Scotland on Monday and brought a gust of 90mph at South Uist in the Outer Hebrides of Scotland .

There were also some colder nights, especially Tuesday night with wintry showers resulting in a covering of snow on higher parts of the M62 motorway. This past weekend saw further spells of wet and windy weather across the country, a gust of 76mph was recorded at Plymouth on Saturday afternoon.

Monday 8 February—Sunday 14 February
Wind problems look set to continue

A lot going on weather-wise this week. Storm Imogen will cross the UK during Monday bringing very strong winds to southern areas and showers in many places, continuing into Tuesday. Then a quieter period of weather mid-week before another deep area of low pressure moves in from the Atlantic late in the week bringing strong winds and outbreaks of rain.

So looking at this week in a bit more detail. Monday will be a showery day and very windy in the south, severe gales or even storm force winds will affect south Wales and southern England. The centre of the low pressure will be over Scotland and here winds will remain light. To the south of the low centre, showers will be frequent and heavy with hail and thunder. Showers becoming fewer during Tuesday but still frequent over northeast Scotland where it will be windy. Winds veering into a northwesterly direction introducing colder air to all parts with the showers in the north falling as snow on high ground. The weather will draw a breath on Wednesday with something altogether quieter with fewer showers and lighter winds. It will be a colder night on Tuesday night and Wednesday night with a frost developing.
The weather is set to turn more unsettled again during Thursday and into Friday with another area of low pressure moving in from the Atlantic. It is again expected to bring wet and windy weather to many areas although Scotland will be drier, brighter and colder with wintry showers. The low pressure will remain close by over the weekend with showers in many areas, wintry on high ground.

Monday 15 February—Sunday 21 February
Weather rollercoaster continues

It looks like an unsettled and cold start to the week with strong northerly winds and blustery showers, falling as snow on higher ground in the north. Then a brief ridge of high pressure will follow from the west during the early part of the week bringing drier conditions. The settled weather is not expected to last for too long before we begin to see further areas of low pressure coming our way across the Atlantic Ocean. At this stage it looks as though the track of the low pressure systems will move back to the north of the British Isles. This will mean the wettest and windiest weather is likely to be over parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland.
There are also indications as we go towards the end week that high pressure will begin to build up from the south with something in the way of more settled conditions reaching many parts of England and Wales.

Monday 22 February—Sunday 6 March
Will February finish on a high?

As we head towards the end of February, there is a signal for further areas of low pressure to come our way across the Atlantic. However the various weather forecast models do show a large variety of tracks of these low pressure systems but mostly expected to pass to the north of the UK. This will allow high pressure to build at times, especially in the south bringing longer drier, brighter spells with lighter winds. This will also mean some cold and frosty nights. However we are still likely to see spells of wet and windy weather crossing from the west, more especially over the north of the country. These unsettled conditions will make their way southwards from time to time.

Next week

As we move into the meteorological spring will winter have a sting in its tail?

Monthly forecasting
The weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.

Next update at 10:00, Monday 15 February

Summary

Monday 8 February Published at 02:35

Summary

Severe gales in the south with squally showers. Calmer elsewhere.
Today

Severe gales in southern areas with gusts of 60-70mph, possibly 80mph over exposed coasts, but these easing later in the day. Rather cloudy with frequent squally showers in the south. Drier, less windy with sunny spells further north.

Tonight

Gales easing in the south, but remaining windy. Further showery rain in southern and central areas. Drier and clearer with light winds in the north, a patchy frost in Scotland.

Tuesday

Winds easing but some local gales still likely in the south. Showery rain moving south, wintry over high ground, especially in the north. A colder day for all parts.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday

Cold, easing winds and mainly dry on Wednesday and Thursday with scattered wintry showers and overnight frosts. Stronger winds with further rain in the south on Friday.

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UK Forecast Last updated 08:08, Monday 8 Feb