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Wednesday 19 October Published at 16:57
Issued by the Met Office
Wednesday 19 October
There are no weather warnings in force anywhere in the United Kingdom.
About the Met Office Weather Warnings
BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.
Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.
Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.
There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.
A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.
When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings
About Flood Warnings
The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.
Find out more about Flood Warnings
There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.
Floodline - 0345 988 1188
Monday 17 October Published at 10:00
Let's hope for a dry Halloween and Bonfire Night
It looks as though this next month is going to be characterised by chilly nights and cool feeling days. An area of high pressure will move in during the first week of the forecast but it's causing a few headaches for forecasters as it leaves. There's quite a lot of uncertainty surrounding just how exactly this area of high pressure will retreat and the knock on effects for our weather has made for a tricky (no Halloween pun intended) forecast. We can expect a fair amount of dry weather but we could also see some wet and windy conditions as the high eventually breaks down.
Monday 17 October—Sunday 23 October
It looks as though Hurricane Nicole, way out in the Atlantic, is pushing up a ridge of high pressure to the west of the UK. This ridge is set to bring chilly north-westerly winds through Monday and Tuesday with plenty of showers and longer spells of rain so just about everyone will need a waterproof at some point. By Wednesday the ridge of high pressure should be overhead, leaving mainly dry and settled conditions for many away from the east coast where a few showers will persist. This situation then stays with us into the weekend with mainly dry, settled conditions but slightly lower temperatures than the seasonal average by day and some chilly nights too.
Monday 24 October—Sunday 30 October
Lots of uncertainty this week
High pressure looks set to stay with us at the start of this week bringing lots of dry weather but at this stage it's too early to say whether or not we'll have sunny skies or grey ones. Whilst the large scale features of our weather systems appear to remain stuck in a blocked pattern across northwest Europe, small changes in this could mean large changes in the weather outside the window. As the high pressure slowly edges away eastwards we could be in for a bit of a change but confidence in this part of the forecast is low. There will be some wetter spells, most likely in the west with the east being favoured for chilly and occasionally foggy nights. At this time of year any fog tends to be stubborn come the morning so whilst we will most likely see some sunshine, some murky days are on the cards as well. Temperatures are likely to remain a little on the chilly side.
Monday 31 October—Sunday 13 November
Trick or treat? It depends where you are
As Halloween comes and goes and we head into November, the outlook is for mainly settled conditions with extended dry periods. Good news for anyone out trick or treating as well as people standing outside waiting for the fireworks to start on Bonfire Night. This doesn't mean that the whole UK can expect a totally dry fortnight; there will still be a few showery spells, most likely in the west and northwest. Winds will be generally light, mainly westerly or north-westerly, although at times, particularly during rainy spells, the wind will pick up becoming quite strong. Temperatures are forecast to be around average for the time of year which means we will likely see the occasional frosty night.
As we head into the final weeks of meteorological autumn, what will the weather have in store?
Monthly forecastingThe weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Next update at 10:00, Monday 24 October
Thursday 20 October Published at 15:38
Largely fine and dry, with some showers in the east.
This Evening and Tonight
Most places will become dry, with clear spells, although there will be showers over coastal parts of eastern and southeastern England, also across parts of northeastern Scotland. A chilly night with patchy frost and fog in western and central parts.
Any fog patches clearing to leave a fine and mostly dry day with sunny spells. A few showers in the east and southeast, possibly heavy. Patchy rain in the northwest.
Outlook for Saturday to Monday
Largely dry at first with sunny spells but with showers across some eastern areas. Winds will strengthen on Sunday with rain reaching southern areas by Monday. Chilly in the wind.