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Tuesday 29 July Published at 00:05
Issued by the Met Office
Tuesday 29th July 2014
There are no weather warnings in force anywhere in the United Kingdom.
Further updates will appear here.
About the Met Office Weather Warnings
BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.
Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.
Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.
There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.
A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.
When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings
About the Environment Agency Flood Warnings
The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency and the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and sent to the BBC Weather Centre, we then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.
Find out more about Flood Warnings
There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. Both the Environment Agency (for England and Wales) and the Scottish Environment Protection Agency update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.
Floodline - 0845 988 1188
Monday 28 July Published at 10:00
Respite from the heat and humidity?
The Commonwealth Games opened to high temperatures and strong sunshine, with a maximum temperature of 25C (77F) being recorded in Glasgow on the opening day.
Last week both Scotland and Northern Ireland recorded their highest temperature of the year so far. But the heat and humidity continued to produce thunderstorms and spectacular lightning. With heavy downpours in places and gusty winds reported, impacts included localised flooding whilst lightning caused disruption especially on some trainlines.
However slow changes in our weather pattern were taking place over the weekend.
Monday 28 July—Sunday 3 August
Cooler with showers
Over recent weeks high pressure over Scandinavia has been responsible for keeping rain-bearing fronts out over the Atlantic and allowing the strong July sunshine a chance to really raise the temperatures.
This week the pattern is set to change with low pressure sitting to the northwest of the UK. We are expecting the majority of showers to be focused across the northwest where they could be heavy and thundery. Southern and eastern areas may see very few showers at the start of the week but the showers become more widespread by the weekend. The day by day detail in the forecast and positioning of showers will be crucial because we will still experience plenty of dry and sunny weather in between the showers, especially in the south and east.
It will stay warm in the southeast but elsewhere temperatures are forecast to be down on recent weeks although still close to, if not, above average at times. The good news is that we will finally lose the muggy nights and sleeping should be much easier!
Monday 4 August—Sunday 10 August
More of the same
At the moment the week starts with low pressure still positioned to the north of the UK. The wettest of the weather is always more likely in the northwest and the southeast stands a better chance of staying dry and bright. Strong winds could also be a feature of the weather this week.
Even though the weather will have an unsettled feel there will still be dry days with sunshine and respectable temperatures. So maybe it's balloons in Bristol or comedy in Edinburgh for your holiday plans - don't despair not every day will bring rain!
By the end of this week there are signs that pressure may start to build and bring some more consistent dry and warm conditions to the south. Northern parts are more likely to keep a greater variety in the weather.
Sunday 10 August—Sunday 24 August
Typical summer weather
The big question...will the more unsettled weather pattern at the start of August last or turn out to be a brief interlude in what has, so far, been a warm, sunny summer? Currently, the computer models that we use to generate medium to long term weather forecasts are producing a large variety of possible weather scenarios for the last 2 weeks of August. With that in mind, the most likely set up is for cloudy skies in the north and west with rain or showers at times. Further south and east, there is a better chance of drier, brighter and slightly warmer than average conditions.
Shorts or trousers for a new term in Scotland and Bank Holiday elsewhere?
Monthly forecastingThe weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Next update at 10:00, Monday 4 August
Monday 28 July Published at 15:42
Becoming clear and dry for many. Rain in northwest later.
This Evening and Tonight
Heavy showers in the far southeast will slowly clear away overnight, then leaving most places dry with long clear periods. Northwestern areas will become increasingly cloudy though, with occasional rain and drizzle.
Increasingly breezy with scattered showers in northwestern parts. Elsewhere, mostly dry and bright, but turning cloudier with patchy light rain spreading southeast. Rather warm, especially in the southeast.
Outlook for Wednesday to Friday
Showers in the north and west Wednesday and Thursday spreading into many other areas Friday. Warm in the south and east, cooler elsewhere, especially in the north Wednesday when breezy.