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Sunday 22 October Published at 01:37
Issued by the Met Office
Sunday 22 October
There are no weather warnings in force anywhere in the United Kingdom.
About the Met Office Weather Warnings
The Met Office warns the public and emergency responders of severe or hazardous weather which has the potential to cause danger to life or widespread disruption through the National Severe Weather Warning Service.
The Met Office issues warnings for rain, snow, wind, fog and ice. These warnings are given a colour depending on a combination of the likelihood of the event happening and the impact the conditions may have.
For more information, see the Met Office Weather Warnings Guide.
About Flood Warnings
The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.
Find out more about Flood Warnings
There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.
Floodline - 0345 988 1188
Monday 16 October Published at 10:00
Very unsettled start - sign of a drier spell later
The first fortnight of October has seen some pleasant warm weather in the southeastern half of the UK, where it has also been very dry so far, but the northwest has been much wetter: Capel Curig in Snowdonia has recorded 255 mm of rainfall already. Even the southeast will see some significant rain during the next fortnight but there are signs of a more settled weather pattern returning later in the period.
Monday 16 October—Sunday 22 October
Stormy start - more wind and rain later
The second half of the month begins with ex-hurricane Ophelia bringing a stormy day. Severe gales will spread to western coastal parts, with some disruption likely and gales will develop in many other inland areas later. At the same time, eastern England will be warm and bright. Gales will continue into Tuesday morning over the northern half of the UK but will decrease steadily. The south will have another mainly dry, bright and rather warm day while the north is cloudy with some showers. On Wednesday, most areas will be cloudy and there'll be some patchy, mainly light rain around. The second half of the week will turn very unsettled everywhere, with bands of rain crossing all parts, and there's the potential for further very windy episodes. Temperatures will also drop back towards average.
Monday 23 October—Sunday 29 October
Unsettled start and turning cooler
The last full week of October will begin on a very unsettled note. There will be periods of rain and some strong winds likely. The week's weather will keep an unsettled flavour but there will be lengthier drier, clearer periods as the week goes on. Should the winds fall light overnight, a couple of cold starts are likely, with local frost and patchy fog but rain and wind are likely to return for a time especially to the northwest.
Monday 30 October—Sunday 12 November
Prospect of some settled autumnal weather
Heading into early November, the weather pattern looks set to remain in a rather unsettled mood, with occasional spells of wind and rain but also some drier and brighter intervals. As the fortnight goes on, so a more settled spell is expected to develop although the northwest may hang on to mild conditions with cloudy, breezy weather and some rain. Elsewhere, higher pressure promises a much drier period with lighter winds and it will turn rather chilly at times. Overnight fog and frost will also become much more likely.
The change to more settled weather is far from certain, will we see frost and fog set the tone for early November?
Monthly forecastingThe weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.
Next update at 10:00, Monday 23 October
Sunday 22 October Published at 15:41
Patchy frost in the east tonight. Rain arriving elsewhere.
This Evening and Tonight
It will become generally dry this evening. Many northern and most eastern areas will then have a dry night with clear spells, allowing a patchy frost to form. Elsewhere, it will cloud over from the west with further rain arriving.
Outbreaks of rain will move eastwards across Britain. However, eastern Scotland and the extreme east of England may start bright, while brighter weather will follow to most parts later.
Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday
Southern areas will be cloudy with some rain on Tuesday and Wednesday, with brighter, showery weather further north. Rain may move north on Thursday, revealing some slightly warmer sunshine elsewhere.