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Warnings

Monday 8 February Published at 23:46

UK Warnings

Weather Warning

Issued by the Met Office

YELLOW WARNING of RAIN for Southwest Scotland

Issued at 2017 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

Valid from: 2200 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

Valid to: 1000 on Tue 9 Feb 2016

Showers and some longer spells of heavy rain will affect southwest Scotland on Monday night before clearing later on Tuesday morning. On some high level roads, mainly above 300-400 m, the rain may turn to wet snow before clearing, bringing some slushy accumulations.

YELLOW WARNING of RAIN for western half of Northern Ireland

Issued at 1446 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

Valid from: 1800 on Mon 8 Feb 2016

Valid to: 1000 on Tue 9 Feb 2016

Heavy rain or showers will affect the north and west of Northern Ireland on Monday evening and overnight before clearing on Tuesday morning. Rainfall accumulations of 20-30mm are possible in places.

The public should be aware that there is the potential for some localised flooding.

Flood Warning

Issued by the Environment Agency or by SEPA in Scotland and Natural Resources Wales in Wales

FLOOD WARNINGS

Updated at 23:46 on 8th Feb 2016

There are flood warnings in force in the following regions:

NORTHWEST (3)

SOUTHWEST (14)

SOUTHEAST (2)

MIDLANDS (21)

WALES (11)

NORTHEAST (5)

SCOTLAND (1)

Further updates will appear here.

About the Met Office Weather Warnings

BBC Weather carries two types of weather warnings issued by the Met Office: Warnings and Early Warnings.

Warnings will be issued when severe weather is expected within the next 24 hours.

Early Warnings will be issued more than 24 hours ahead of severe weather.

There are three categories of event Red, Amber and Yellow - the most severe is Red.

A Warning and an Early Warning of the same colour have the same severity but are forecast to arrive at different times. Thus, the difference between a Red Warning and a Red Early Warning is the lead time of the event.

When a warning is in force, full information can be found at Met Office Weather Warnings

About Flood Warnings

The flood warnings are issued by the Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales, and sent to the BBC Weather Centre. We then issue a compendium of warnings based on the latest information available. When severe flood warnings are issued they will also be highlighted on TV broadcasts.

Find out more about Flood Warnings

There are a number of ways you find out whether your area is at risk from flooding. The Environment Agency, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and Natural Resources Wales update their warnings 24 hours a day via the Floodline number.

Floodline - 0345 988 1188

Monthly Outlook

Monday 8 February Published at 10:00

Monthly Outlook

Summary
Blowing hot and cold

As we went through the first week of February, the last month of the meteorological winter, there were some early signs of spring. Temperatures last Monday reached 15 Celsius in Hull, and again on Thursday at Usk in Wales. As well as the milder temperatures, there was a changeable look to early February. Storm Henry, a very deep area of low pressure passed just to the north of Scotland on Monday and brought a gust of 90mph at South Uist in the Outer Hebrides of Scotland .

There were also some colder nights, especially Tuesday night with wintry showers resulting in a covering of snow on higher parts of the M62 motorway. This past weekend saw further spells of wet and windy weather across the country, a gust of 76mph was recorded at Plymouth on Saturday afternoon.

Monday 8 February—Sunday 14 February
Wind problems look set to continue

A lot going on weather-wise this week. Storm Imogen will cross the UK during Monday bringing very strong winds to southern areas and showers in many places, continuing into Tuesday. Then a quieter period of weather mid-week before another deep area of low pressure moves in from the Atlantic late in the week bringing strong winds and outbreaks of rain.

So looking at this week in a bit more detail. Monday will be a showery day and very windy in the south, severe gales or even storm force winds will affect south Wales and southern England. The centre of the low pressure will be over Scotland and here winds will remain light. To the south of the low centre, showers will be frequent and heavy with hail and thunder. Showers becoming fewer during Tuesday but still frequent over northeast Scotland where it will be windy. Winds veering into a northwesterly direction introducing colder air to all parts with the showers in the north falling as snow on high ground. The weather will draw a breath on Wednesday with something altogether quieter with fewer showers and lighter winds. It will be a colder night on Tuesday night and Wednesday night with a frost developing.
The weather is set to turn more unsettled again during Thursday and into Friday with another area of low pressure moving in from the Atlantic. It is again expected to bring wet and windy weather to many areas although Scotland will be drier, brighter and colder with wintry showers. The low pressure will remain close by over the weekend with showers in many areas, wintry on high ground.

Monday 15 February—Sunday 21 February
Weather rollercoaster continues

It looks like an unsettled and cold start to the week with strong northerly winds and blustery showers, falling as snow on higher ground in the north. Then a brief ridge of high pressure will follow from the west during the early part of the week bringing drier conditions. The settled weather is not expected to last for too long before we begin to see further areas of low pressure coming our way across the Atlantic Ocean. At this stage it looks as though the track of the low pressure systems will move back to the north of the British Isles. This will mean the wettest and windiest weather is likely to be over parts of Scotland and Northern Ireland.
There are also indications as we go towards the end week that high pressure will begin to build up from the south with something in the way of more settled conditions reaching many parts of England and Wales.

Monday 22 February—Sunday 6 March
Will February finish on a high?

As we head towards the end of February, there is a signal for further areas of low pressure to come our way across the Atlantic. However the various weather forecast models do show a large variety of tracks of these low pressure systems but mostly expected to pass to the north of the UK. This will allow high pressure to build at times, especially in the south bringing longer drier, brighter spells with lighter winds. This will also mean some cold and frosty nights. However we are still likely to see spells of wet and windy weather crossing from the west, more especially over the north of the country. These unsettled conditions will make their way southwards from time to time.

Next week

As we move into the meteorological spring will winter have a sting in its tail?

Monthly forecasting
The weather beyond about a week ahead stretches even the most experienced weather forecaster. Complex numerical weather forecast models from the Met Office and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) are run many times for the month (and season) ahead to build up a picture of the likelihood of different weather types affecting the UK.

Next update at 10:00, Monday 15 February

Summary

Monday 8 February Published at 13:39

Summary

Very strong winds slowly easing. Showery rain continuing.
This Evening and Tonight

Gales across the south will ease however it will remain windy. Further showery rain will continue to spread across many areas overnight, although central areas should become clearer and colder. Also mostly dry in northeast Scotland with a frost.

Tuesday

Windy, with showery rain moving south, wintry over high ground, especially in the north. Sharp showers continuing across the south with gales possible, particularly in the afternoon. Colder.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday

Cold, easing winds and mainly dry on Wednesday and Thursday with scattered wintry showers and overnight frosts. Stronger winds with further rain and hill snow in the south on Friday.

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UK Forecast Video

UK Forecast Last updated 23:12, Monday 8 Feb