UKIP Wales

Race for the wooden spoon

Professor Sir John Curtice

Polling expert

So far it looks as though it will be a close run thing as to which of UKIP or Change UK will come last of the main parties in this election.

Both are heading for just over 3.3% of the vote, and one or both of them could even be overtaken by the SNP - even though the nationalists are only fighting in Scotland.