Wales politics

Scotland referendum: Polled AMs think more Welsh powers if yes

No and Yes campaigners Image copyright Getty Images
Image caption AMs were asked about the effect on Wales of the referendum outcome

A poll on whether Scottish independence would lead to greater powers for Wales was only answered by 25 out of 60 AMs.

Of those that did respond, nearly two thirds said they felt there would be more powers if a yes vote was cast in the referendum on 18 September.

The face-to-face Ipsos Mori survey was undertaken between June and August.

Fewer than half of the Welsh AMs took part with seven from Labour, eight Conservatives, six from Plaid Cymru and four Liberal Democrats.

First Minister Carwyn Jones has said any further devolution for Scotland should also be offered to Wales in the wake of next week's referendum.

The survey also asked if the AMs thought a yes vote would have any effect on the Welsh economy - but 79% of those who took part did not think that it would.

Both Labour and opposition AMs agreed that independence for Scotland would lead to powers beyond those already being proposed for the National Assembly - such as the power to raise some taxes and borrow money - being devolved to Wales.

Analysis by Vaughan Roderick, BBC Wales Welsh Affairs Editor

The poll suggests that assembly members, while united in wanting to see more powers transferred to Cardiff Bay, are unsure what impact an independent Scotland would have on the relationship between Wales and the remainder of the UK.

Opinion polls in Wales have never shown substantial support for an independent Wales and it's clear that few AMs believe Wales would follow Scotland's lead if there were a Yes vote.

The issue of fresh powers being transferred to Cardiff Bay is ongoing though with events in Scotland likely to speed-up plans to give the assembly additional responsibilities.

First Minister Carwyn Jones has made repeated call for a constitutional convention to draught a durable constitutional settlement. With the Scottish result on a knife edge it may be that a convention is an idea whose time has come.

AMs were divided on whether or not independence for Scotland would lead to a greater clamour from Welsh independence - 35% said that there would be an increase for Welsh independence compared with 23% who think support for independence will drop.

More than half (58%) said they didn't believe there would be any change to budget allocated to the Welsh government by the UK government while 22% thought the budget would increase and 14% felt it would be reduced.

Politicians in the Senedd were also asked how they saw the future relationship between Welsh and Scottish governments in an independent Scotland and 37% felt it would grow stronger, but 32% think the relationship would weaken.

Although most of the questions focused on the eventuality of a Yes vote in next week's independence referendum the politicians were asked if the way that devolved administrations are funded in the UK - the Barnett Formula - should change regardless of whether or not Scotland becomes independent.

A strong majority (84%) of AMs who responded want the formula changed - which reflects the cross party support within the assembly for its reform.

More on this story