League Cup final: Which factors will decide Chelsea v Spurs?

Diego Costa, Jose Mourinho, Mauricio Pochettino, Harry Kane
Chelsea and Tottenham last contested a cup final in 2008

Chelsea meet Tottenham in the Capital One Cup final on Sunday, with Jose Mourinho's Premier League leaders the favourites to lift the first domestic trophy of the season.

The match represents a chance for the managers of both clubs - Chelsea's Mourinho and Tottenham's Mauricio Pochettino - to win a first piece of silverware since being appointed.

Indeed, for Mourinho, it is an opportunity to end the longest barren run he has experienced as a manager...

Graphic showing number of years (three) since Jose Mourinho qwon a trophy - the longest run since he took control of Porto in 2002

What history tells us: Chelsea in control

Tottenham fans, look away now.

The north London club's record against their Stamford Bridge opponents makes dismal reading.

Spurs once endured a run of 26 games without beating Chelsea until they finally defeated the Blues 5-1 in a League Cup tie in 2002. The run of losses had stretched back 22 years.

Graphic showing overall record between Chelsea and Spurs since the Premier League began, with Chelsea dominant

But there is hope for Spurs...

However, in recent years there has been a steady improvement - albeit slight - in Tottenham's fortunes against Chelsea, an upturn sparked by their League Cup final success in 2008, when Spurs beat the Blues 2-1.

Since that game, Spurs' win percentage against Chelsea has doubled compared to their overall record against the Blues in the Premier League era.

Graphic showing how Spurs' win percentage against Chelsea has doubled since 2008, compared to their overall record in the Premier League era

And who can forget the last time these sides met? Spurs produced one of the performances of the season to win 5-3 at White Hart Lane on New Year's Day.

There is hope...

White Hart Lane scoreboard
On New Year's Day Chelsea conceded five goals in the Premier League for only the third time

So how can Spurs upset the odds?

A look at this season's statistics offers Spurs an insight into how best to beat Chelsea. The longer they are in contention, the greater their chance of victory.

Tottenham have scored more late goals than any other Premier League team this season...

Graphic showing goals scored by Spurs and Chelsea in the final 10 minutes of games

...while Chelsea have been the league's most vulnerable side in the closing 10 minutes of matches.

Graphic showing that Chelsea have conceded a higher percentage of their goals in the final 10 minutes of Premier League games this season than any other team

And if Tottenham are still in the game as the match nears the 90-minute mark, giving the ball to Harry Kane would not be a bad idea either.

Graphic comparing Diego Costa and Harry Kane this season

But what about the Chelsea threat?

Tottenham may have the country's in-form goalscorer but when it comes to providing assists, Chelsea's Cesc Fabregas leads the way this season by a distance.

The regularity with which he creates opportunities contrasts sharply with Spurs' leading supplier of goalscoring chances, Erik Lamela.

Graphic showing number of assists for Cesc Fabregas (19) and Erik Lamela (six)

Could the difference come from the dugout?

When it comes to experience in winning trophies, there is no comparison between the two managers. Pochettino, in his first season at Tottenham after spells with Southampton and Espanyol, has yet to claim a major honour, while Chelsea counterpart Mourinho is looking for a 21st piece of silverware.

It is a trophy he has won twice before, including in 2005 when it marked the start of a successful run during his first spell at Stamford Bridge.

Graphic comparing Jose Mourinho and Mauricio Pochettino

How they compare in the League Cup

The last time these sides met in a cup final - in this competition in 2008 - Spurs came out on top through Jonathan Woodgate's extra-time winner.

Overall, the two clubs are tied on the same number of League Cup wins. But who will be celebrating on Sunday?

Graphic showing how Spurs and Chelsea's records compare in the League Cup

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